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Mon 12 Oct, 17:17
What would my result have been if I had always followed my plan?
Counting every trade you made, the journal is at +4,376. Counting only the trades that followed your plan, it would be at +6,606.
The 65 trades that broke a rule came to −2,230 between them. So skipping them would have left you +2,230 better off, and with a calmer curve.
This is a look back, not a forecast: you cannot know in advance which trades will break a rule. Figures from your journal, not advice.
What it ran · 2 queries
1 66 rows
SELECT CAST(DATE(closed_at) AS DATETIME) AS day, ROUND(SUM(SUM(net_pnl)) OVER (ORDER BY DATE(closed_at)), 2) AS actual, ROUND(SUM(SUM(CASE WHEN plan_adherence = 'followed' THEN net_pnl ELSE 0 END)) OVER (ORDER BY DATE(closed_at)), 2) AS only_followed FROM journal_trades WHERE status = 'closed' AND closed_at IS NOT NULL GROUP BY DATE(closed_at) ORDER BY day
| day | actual | only_followed |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 00:00:00 | 323.50 | 323.50 |
| 2026-07-21 00:00:00 | 541.09 | 323.50 |
| 2026-07-23 00:00:00 | 821.93 | 529.70 |
| 2026-07-25 00:00:00 | 833.47 | 541.24 |
| 2026-07-26 00:00:00 | 1370.88 | 1078.66 |
| 2026-07-27 00:00:00 | 1213.66 | 921.43 |
| 2026-07-28 00:00:00 | 857.78 | 1133.30 |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 719.81 | 1212.33 |
| 2026-07-30 00:00:00 | 518.10 | 1010.62 |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 276.04 | 768.56 |
| 2026-08-02 00:00:00 | -57.88 | 768.56 |
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | -303.06 | 969.17 |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 16.18 | 1367.03 |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 252.08 | 1367.03 |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | -110.03 | 1367.03 |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 17.98 | 1495.04 |
| 2026-08-08 00:00:00 | 222.73 | 1699.79 |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 313.88 | 1790.94 |
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 9.34 | 1790.94 |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 252.82 | 2034.42 |
2 1 row
SELECT COUNT(*) AS trades, ROUND(SUM(net_pnl), 2) AS net FROM journal_trades WHERE status = 'closed' AND plan_adherence = 'broke'
| trades | net |
|---|---|
| 65 | -2230.22 |